Weekly Forex Price Action Chart Outlook | May 26 – 31

USDJPY – Looking for a Pullback into Key Level
Selling off for back to back days (last time was in April), the USDJPY sold off heavily after the China PMI miss and Abe-nomics plan starting to unfold.

The pair has since retreated to the daily 20ema which has held price up since early May. Although there is a 4hr pin bar signal at the 20ema level, I am suspecting a further unwind before buyers come back in. So I’ll look for price action signals to get long at 100 or 96.75 which are key pullback levels where buyers stepped in to take prices higher.

NOTE: Trading will likely be subdued Monday as the US banks are closed for the Memorial Day Holiday.

price action pullback to key level usdjpy 2ndskiesforex.com

AUDUSD – Key Support Under Attack
Zooming out to the weekly charts, since Soros started selling the Aussie, the pair has lost over 600+ pips and is challenging a multi-year support level in .9600. The 2012 lows was .9577, and if this breaks, then really there is no support till .9380, so quite a lot of potential here. I’m suspecting a breakdown is more likely this week, but if a bounce ensues, I’ll look for pullbacks towards .9800/20 to get short as I feel the multi-year support will not hold for much longer.

key levels multi-year support audusd price action 2ndskiesforex.com

Crude Oil – Pin Bar off Range Support
For the second time in 11 days, Crude has formed a pin bar signal off the 92.10/20 range lows. the 4hr charts show the bounce off the level looks identical, but I’m not totally convinced its going to hold. The reason for this is the two days of selling last week over-whelmed three+ days of prior buying. Contrast it with the first pin bar back on May 15th, which followed four days of selling that was = to four days of buying.

With the US markets and main commodity exchanges closed on Monday, the European traders could pressure this further. Bulls who want to buy, I’d recommend looking for a corrective pullback into $93.00 with stops below the low of the pin bar.

pin bar signals crude oil price action trading levels 2ndskiesforex.com

Nikkei 225 – Loses 2000 points to End the Week
After forming a pin bar signal on Wednesday last week, the major index got hammered dropping 9% on Thursday, then followed it up with more selling on Friday. The Nikkei bounced off the key level I discussed on Thursday’s market commentary at 14000, but the pressure is still on. If 14000 holds, then we will likely see another attack on 16000 as rarely do trends end like this without a second attack. However, if 14000 collapses, then support does not come till 13615, and 12700, so a lot of potential downside.

nikkei 225 pin bar signal 9 percent drop price action 2ndskiesforex.com

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I'm Chris Capre, Founder of 2ndSkiesForex. I help traders of all levels change the way they think, trade and perform. As a professional trader, I specialize in trading price action. As a teacher, my passion lies in showing you how to re-wire your brain for successful trading. Want to improve your edge right now? Visit my Price Action Course page.

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  • Lisa A. Jones

    Is Soros selling the aussie a rumor or a fact? Do you have any URL to show? Cos I did a search, seems like a rumor only. Thanks!

    • Hello Lisa,

      You sure your name is Lisa because a search of your email suggests it’s Alex. Which is it as you seem to have falsified your name based on this comment, for where it shows up on other sites it’s different. Hmmm…..

      Regardless, my contacts in HK & Singapore confirmed the rumor through an Asian dealer

      But here is a link confirming the HK broker receiving the order

      Hope this helps Alex, I mean Lisa, I mean Alex…

      Kind Regards,
      Chris Capre

  • brazilianforex

    Hello Chris!

    Just wanted to better understand its analysis on the USD / JPY, because I am Brazilian and use a translator to understand the analysis and often the translations are not very good. Anyway, anyway I just wanted to know if you are using the key level of 100 for a new purchase or you will wait until the price reach that level and then make a sale?

    I did not what is to come is a purchase or a sale based on the level of 100.

  • Greggy

    Hey Brazilian Forex!

    In this forecast, we expect a role reversal, which mean that the previous line in the sand at 100 has been broken by the price action.It was a RESISTANCE, now it can become a SUPPORT (Sellers are gonna try to test it!)
    Follow the Trend ! UPTREND ! So focus mainly on Buying.

    Watch the price action around the 100 level. Avoid to put a Buy order at 100, it’s too early to know if the trend will resume.
    Maybe wait a bit to see some good patterns to put more odds on your side.
    Hope this help.

    @ Chris : Correct me if I’m wrong….


    • brazilianforex

      Good morning Chris!

      Now it became clear to me yes. Actually that was what I was thinking it was his analysis. Just do not clearly understand it due to my translator from English into Portuguese.

      Analysis perfect! It became very clear to me! Now we wait for a new purchase then above the level of 100.