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Forex Trade Signals and Setups Oct. 20th
EURUSD – Ponging Between Two Fibs and a 20ema
After an impressive 9 day run, whereby it gained 6 of the 9 days, the EURUSD climbed roughly 800pips to stop at the 1.3900 handle. Concerns over the region not being able to come up with a package to solve the Greek tragedy as the Troika released statements they are unlikely going to meet any budget targets doused some cold water on the Euro bulls.
With that being said, we are not exactly excited about taking swing or medium term longs on the Euro, we believe there are some interesting short term price action trade setups on the pair.
Looking at the Ichimoku chart below, notice how the pair has been stuck range bound for the last 3 days ponging off the 38.2 and 50% fibs along with the 20ema coming in as support below. Short term traders can take advantage of this range playing both sides (although we prefer the selling more than buying) but tight stops are workable and offer good short term trade setups with about 200pips in the short term range.
What should be noted from an Ichimoku perspective is the Kumo ahead. It is quite thick and getting thicker telling the Euro if it doesn’t make an upside break soon, it will become harder as time goes on. Right now, the Tenkan-Sen is communicating strong momentum but this will wane if it doesn’t push higher soon and clear 1.3920. If the Kumo does hold any further advances and the Euro stalls, then watch for a Tenkan-Kijun Cross to the downside which will likely be below the Kumo and suggest a move back to the 1.33-1.32 region.
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