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Forex Trade Signals and Setups Jan 16th
With the Martin Luther King holiday today, markets have been a snore with even the London session being somewhat sedated. Expect price action to pick up this upcoming London session, but should you take a trade in the current Asian session, be patient with your trade as volumes are low, so it make take a little extra clicks on the clock for your trade to progress (one way or the other.
AUDUSD – Still Holding the Line
As we’ve been talking about for sometime now, the Aussie has been holding the upward wedge and series of higher lows. Yet, at the same time, it has failed to take out the resistance level above. The longer this goes, the more the bears could build confidence the bulls don’t have the muster now to take out the key 1.0380 level.
We are in a termination wedge and almost 90+% through which is very deep into the wedge and not common. We expect a breakout this week is highly likely as they almost never go to full termination.
The 20ema is acting as dynamic support below and has held price action 4x in the latest run. This can give short term traders an intraday entry to long the pair at the ema with tight stops below in the low 1.02’s while targeting the 1.0360/75 region giving you approximately a 3:1 reward to risk ratio. Bears on the other hand have a play shorting the pair in these aforementioned levels, with tight stops above the round number, targeting just shy of the 20ema dynamic support level below so plays on both sides.
GBPUSD – Breakdown of the Channel?
Last week we talked about the key support level at 1.5271 offering a good play for bulls to take a long. This level held 3x since then and offered some good intraday price action setups so hopefully you took advantage of them.
Now price is hovering towards the low of the key channel the cable has been in for the last 2.5 months, and this is the longest price has ever held off the channel lows. The bulls have not come in with any measure of force whatsoever suggesting a breakdown is the more likely move from here. However, the bulls still have time to get in for low cost with stops below the lows from two days ago, targeting the 20ema and possibly the big figure at 1.0500. Thus, if you want to play a long, you have your line in the sand, while those that want to play the pair short, watch for a price action breakout-retest setup on the 4hr time frame with tight stops above the 1.5300 handle.
Also make sure to check out our latest article on Reading Price Action – Intraday Price Action Trading.
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