Forex Price Action Setups – EUR/USD Pin Bar Setup – June 12th

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The Euro formed a pin bar rejection off the daily 20ema and dynamic resistance, also lining up with a key level at 1.2663 which was a former pivot point swing low and now formed resistance.  Price action traders can watch for intraday moves up to 1.2623 and 1.2663 for fading any rallies targeting the big figure at 1.2500.  If price breaks and closes above these highs, then expect a move up to 1.2815 before bears step back in, but we prefer selling rallies to rejoin the trend.  Intraday bulls can consider short term plays around 1.2450 targeting 1.2569.

pin bar strategy price action trading june 12th

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Global Market Commentary:
While global market stocks rose in Europe and the US, the subject still remains Europe with eyes tightly fixed on Greece and Spain which are more like the first dominos in a long line possibly knocking all the rest down.  Spanish yields hit almost record EZ highs which is global investors communicating the bank bailout failed and upcoming uncertainty in Greek elections is front and center on investors minds.

Lagging concerns remain about the structure of the bailout and the June 17th elections counting down in 4.5 days from now could be the match that lights the fire.  This lends itself towards shorter term trading and being willing to go either way in a moments notice as so many of the moves here are political.

The Dow gained 162pts or 1.31% with Gold being a big winner gaining over $14 on the day closing just above $1610 as the shiny metal continues to be underpinned which we expect to continue as the BOJ talks about monetary easing are growing, which only lends itself to Gold prices rising.

Upcoming Economic Announcements:

EUR German Consumer Price Index (YoY) 06.00GMT 02.00EST
EUR Euro-Zone Industrial Production w.d.a. (YoY) 09.00GMT 05.00EST
USD Advance Retail Sales 12.30GMT 08.30EST
USD Producer Price Index Ex Food & Energy (YoY) 12.30GMT 08.30EST
NZD Reserve Bank of New Zealand Rate Decision 21.00GMT 17.00EST


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