Forex Price Action – Gold Continues the Squeeze | Oct. 4th

Verified Profitable Trader

As I talked about in my commentary yesterday, Gold appears to be forming a price action squeeze on the $1790/$1800 level which has been capping the upside since Nov. last year.  I mentioned in the prior post I expect some shakeout prior to the breakout and this is exactly how it played out with back to back 2-way outside bars.  However, the squeeze continues to happen and the 2nd 2-way bar is smaller also forming a HL (higher low) suggesting the pressure is still on.

Thus, I’m expecting this to continue so watch for a breakout, possibly from the NFP announcement tomorrow, but also expect a similar like shakeout before a potential breakout ensues.   After $1802, expect some stops to be tripped but after that, $1826 and $1840 should come into play shortly after so watch for a breakout retest setup.

price action squeeze 2-way outside bar oct 4th

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Global Market Commentary:
Draghi and the ECB took center stage today with the announcement they will buy more bonds and support the EZ.  This boosted the Euro which hit a 2 week high vs. the USD.

Oil also did a round-trip $4 move reversing all the losses yesterday which is strange considering the tension in the middle east have increased since yesterday.

The Dow gained 80pts on the day and Gold also rallied about $13 closing at $1793.

The key thing on investors minds will be the NFP announcement tomorrow so stay sharp.

Upcoming Economic Announcements:

AUD AiG Performance of Construction Index 19.30EST
JPY Bank of Japan Rate Decision
CHF KOF Institute October Economic Forecast 04.00EST
EUR German Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY) 06.00EST
CAD Unemployment Rate 08.30EST
USD Change in Nonfarm Payrolls 08.30EST

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